Heat Pump vs Gas Planner

Heat Pump vs Gas Planner (Netherlands)

Probabilistic comparison of 20-year discounted ownership cost. Prices, demand, and performance vary in each simulation. Negative values mean the heat pump is cheaper.

Dwelling type Floor area (m²) Insulation quality Annual heat demand (kWh) Estimated annual demand (kWh) Gas price (€/m³ ≈10 kWh/m³, per energy content) Electricity price (€/kWh) Boiler efficiency Heat pump COP Heat pump capex (€) Available subsidy (€) Boiler replacement (€) Maintenance (gas, €/yr) Maintenance (heat pump, €/yr) Solar self-consumption (0–1) Grid CO₂ (kg/kWh) Gas CO₂ (kg/kWh) Carbon price (€/kg) Heat pump capex σ (€) COP volatility Minimum COP Boiler efficiency σ Gas escalation σ Electricity escalation σ Gas price σ Electricity price σ Demand volatility (%) Discount rate Gas escalation Electricity escalation Horizon (years) Simulations